Second estimate for the third quarter of 2009 EU27 current account deficit 27.7 bn euro 16.7 bn euro surplus on trade in services

Second estimate for the third quarter of 2009 EU27 current account deficit 27.7 bn euro 16.7 bn euro surplus on trade in services

STAT/10/14

22 January 2010

Second estimate for the third quarter of 2009 EU27 current account deficit 27.7 bn euro 16.7 bn euro surplus on trade in services

According to the latest revisions 1 , the EU27 2 external current account 3 recorded a deficit of 27.7 billion euro in the third quarter of 2009, compared with a deficit of 73.5 bn in the third quarter of 2008 and a deficit of 49.0 bn in the second quarter of 2009.

In the third quarter of 2009, compared with the third quarter of 2008, the deficit of the goods account decreased (?19.1 bn euro compared with -64.9 bn), as did the deficit of the income account (-8.6 bn compared with ?14.2 bn). The surplus of the services account fell (+16.7 bn compared with +19.3 bn) and the deficit of the current transfers account increased (-16.7 bn compared with -13.7 bn).

The surplus reco rded in the services account (+16.7 bn euro) is mainly the result of surpluses in "other business services", which includes miscellaneous business, professional and technical services (+8.9 bn), financial services (+5.7 bn), transportation (+5.4 bn) and computer & information services (+4.1 bn), partially offset by deficits in travel (-5.6 bn) and royalties & licence fees (-3.9 bn).

In the third quarter of 2009, the EU27 external current account recorded a surplus with the USA (+12.5 bn euro), Switzerland (+6.0 bn), Canada (+2.4 bn), Hong Kong (+2.1 bn), Brazil (+1.6 bn) and India (+1.1 bn), and a deficit with China (-29.3 bn), Russia (-8.4 bn) and Japan (-8.0 bn).

Financial Account

In the third quarter of 2009, the EU27 made direct investments abroad for 56.2 bn, compared with 75.7 bn in the same quarter of 2008, while foreign direct investors made investments in the EU27 for 26.9 bn, compared with investments for 64.5 bn in the same quarter of 2008. Portfolio investments recorded a net inflow of 100.8 bn, compared with 153.2 bn in the third quarter of 2008.

These provisional data, issued by Eurostat , the statistical office of the European Union , are based on the information available at the time of publication and subject to revision.

Balance of payments euro-indicators for EU27 and the euro area (EA16)

(in bn euro)

Q3/2008

Q4/2008

Q1/2009

Q2/2009

Q3/2009

EU27 current account balance

-73.5

-59.4

-53.3

-49.0

-27.7

EU27 balance of trade in services

19.3

21.7

12.7

16.2

16.7

EU27 current account balance as % of GDP

-2.4%

-1.9%

-1.9%

-1.7%

-0.9%

EA16 current account balance

-34.7

-32.2

-38.0

-21.7

-2.7

EA16 balance of trade in services

12.9

7.1

0.5

7.3

12.8

EA16 current account balance as % of GDP

-1.5%

-1.4%

-1.7%

-1.0%

-0.1%

Source: Eurostat for EU27 data, ECB 4 for euro area

EU2 7 current and capital account (in bn euro)

Q3/2008

Q4/2008

Q1/2009

Q2/2009

Q3/2009

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

CURRENT ACCOUNT

623.5

697.1

-73.5

595.5

654.9

-59.4

487.6

541.0

-53.3

503.1

552.1

-49.0

501.4

529.1

-27.7

- Goods

340.7

405.6

-64.9

324.7

368.6

-43.9

257.5

301.8

-44.3

268.9

284.5

-15.6

276.0

295.0

-19.1

- Services

138.1

118.8

19.3

135.1

113.4

21.7

113.7

101.0

12.7

116.1

99.9

16.2

121.7

105.0

16.7

- Income

134.1

148.3

-14.2

124.9

143.9

-19.0

107.5

112.6

-5.1

106.5

139.5

-33.1

94.7

103.3

-8.6

- Current Transfers

10.6

24.3

-13.7

10.9

29.1

-18.2

8.9

25.5

-16.6

11.7

28.2

-16.5

9.1

25.8

-16.7

CAPITAL ACCOUNT

1.5

3.4

-1.9

1.7

4.5

-2.8

1.7

3.0

-1.3

1.6

3.9

-2.3

2.1

5.9

-3.8

Source: Eurostat

EU27 financial account (in bn euro)

Q3/2008

Q4/2008

Q1/2009

Q2/2009

Q3/2009

DIRECT INVESTMENT

-11.2

-74.0

-27.3

1.9

-29.3

- direct investment abroad

-75.7

-51.0

-62.7

-80.5

-56.2

- direct investment in the EU

64.5

-23.0

35.4

82.5

26.9

PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT

153.2

329.3

232.1

115.5

100.8

- portfolio investment assets

-8.9

258.6

32.0

-78.0

-55.6

- portfolio investment liabilities

162.1

70.7

200.2

193.5

156.4

OTHER INVESTMENT

-154.4

-459.7

-78.8

-9.8

-81.3

- other investment assets

-120.4

598.9

140.5

134.6

77.2

- other investment liabilities

-34.1

-1 058.6

-219.3

-144.4

-158.5

FINANCIAL DERIVATIVES

6.2

-28.3

-6.9

19.3

0.6

Source: Eurostat

EU2 7 services account (in bn euro)

Q 3/2008

Q4/2008

Q1/2009

Q2/2009

Q3/2009

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Services

138.1

118.8

19.3

135.1

113.4

21.7

113.7

101.0

12.7

116.1

99.9

16.2

121.7

105.0

16.7

Transportation

35.8

29.1

6.8

33.6

26.5

7.1

26.8

22.1

4.7

26.9

21.4

5.5

27.3

21.9

5.4

Travel

24.5

31.5

-7.0

16.2

20.0

-3.8

13.0

19.0

-6.0

17.4

20.9

-3.5

22.2

27.8

-5.6

Other services

77.0

56.3

20.7

84.6

64.8

19.8

73.7

58.8

14.9

71.7

56.0

15.7

72.1

53.3

18.8

Communication services

2.8

2.8

-0.1

2.9

3.1

-0.2

2.9

3.1

-0.1

2.9

3.0

-0.1

3.1

3.1

0.0

Construction services

4.3

2.5

1.8

5.2

3.0

2.2

3.9

2.5

1.4

4.4

3.1

1.3

4.6

3.0

1.6

Insurance services

3.7

1.6

2.1

3.2

2.1

1.1

4.2

1.8

2.4

3.3

1.8

1.6

3.6

1.6

2.0

Financial services

11.8

4.5

7.3

13.0

4.9

8.0

10.5

4.0

6.4

9.6

4.0

5.6

10.1

4.4

5.7

Computer & info. services

7.2

2.7

4.5

8.4

3.6

4.7

8.4

3.3

5.0

6.8

3.0

3.8

7.1

3.0

4.1

Royalties & licence fees

6.0

9.5

-3.5

7.1

10.7

-3.7

6.8

10.9

-4.1

6.1

8.7

-2.5

5.7

9.6

-3.9

Other business services

37.7

29.0

8.8

41.2

33.8

7.4

34.2

29.5

4.7

35.4

29.4

6.0

34.7

25.8

8.9

Personal, cultural & rec. services

1.2

1.6

-0.4

1.5

1.4

0.1

1.0

1.5

-0.6

1.2

1.3

-0.2

1.2

1.4

-0.3

Government services, n.i.e.

2.2

2.0

0.2

2.3

2.1

0.1

2.0

2.2

-0.2

1.9

1.7

0.2

2.0

1.4

0.6

Services not allocated

0.8

2.0

-1.3

0.7

2.0

-1.3

0.2

1.2

-1.0

0.1

1.7

-1.6

0.1

2.0

-1.9

Source: Eurostat

EU2 7 geographical breakdown of selected balance of payments items (in bn euro)

Partner

Period

Total Current Account

Goods

Services

D irect investment abroad

Direct investment in the EU

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Credit

Debit

Net

Net

Net

Total

Q4/2008

595.5

654.9

-59.4

324.7

368.6

-43.9

135.1

113.4

21.7

-51.0

-23.0

Q1/2009

487.6

541.0

-53.3

257.5

301.8

-44.3

113.7

101.0

12.7

-62.7

35.4

Q2/2009

503.1

552.1

-49.0

268.9

284.5

-15.6

116.1

99.9

16.2

-80.5

82.5

Q3/2009

501.4

529.1

-27.7

276.0

295.0

-19.1

121.7

105.0

16.7

-56.2

26.9

USA

Q4/2008

137.5

136.4

1.0

62.3

46.4

15.9

32.7

37.1

-4.4

-31.6

0.5

Q1/2009

118.1

113.8

4.3

51.3

44.2

7.0

28.7

31.2

-2.5

-20.1

5.4

Q2/2009

118.5

112.6

5.9

52.3

40.5

11.9

30.3

32.0

-1.7

3.8

58.1

Q3/2009

110.9

98.4

12.5

49.6

36.2

13.4

30.0

30.6

-0.6

-25.9

-3.9

Switzerland

Q4/2008

57.2

47.2

10.0

26.3

23.2

3.0

16.3

11.9

4.4

9.2

5.1

Q1/2009

50.9

42.0

8.9

23.9

21.3

2.6

14.4

11.3

3.2

-6.7

8.6

Q2/2009

52.8

43.2

9.5

22.2

20.3

1.9

15.8

10.4

5.4

-11.9

6.0

Q3/2009

49.7

43.7

6.0

22.0

19.9

2.1

16.6

11.2

5.5

-2.2

7.3

China *

Q4/2008

26.0

70.0

-44.0

19.5

64.5

-44.9

5.3

4.1

1.3

-0.9

0.2

Q1/2009

22.9

55.4

-32.5

17.1

51.1

-34.0

4.7

3.4

1.3

-1.2

-0.1

Q2/2009

26.2

50.9

-24.7

20.6

46.5

-25.9

4.2

3.3

0.9

-0.4

0.1

Q3/2009

27.1

56.4

-29.3

20.9

52.0

-31.1

4.8

3.4

1.4

-1.6

0.0

Russia

Q4/2008

33.4

40.6

-7.2

25.3

35.2

-9.9

5.4

3.3

2.1

-5.9

1.2

Q1/2009

22.2

29.2

-6.9

15.6

25.6

-10.1

3.8

2.5

1.3

0.0

0.8

Q2/2009

22.5

29.0

-6.5

15.5

25.1

-9.6

4.1

2.8

1.3

0.4

0.7

Q3/2009

24.5

32.9

-8.4

16.3

29.4

-13.1

5.3

2.7

2.6

-2.0

0.7

Japan

Q4/2008

21.3

30.5

-9.2

10.9

17.6

-6.8

4.6

3.7

0.9

-0.1

4.4

Q1/2009

17.2

24.6

-7.4

9.1

14.5

-5.4

4.1

3.4

0.8

0.7

-2.9

Q2/2009

15.6

25.1

-9.5

8.5

13.2

-4.8

3.9

3.0

0.9

1.1

-0.2

Q3/2009

15.5

23.4

-8.0

9.2

13.3

-4.2

3.9

3.1

0.8

0.6

3.1

Canada

Q4/2008

12.7

11.0

1.7

6.3

5.9

0.4

2.7

2.3

0.4

-1.6

2.1

Q1/2009

11.1

8.6

2.5

5.4

4.5

0.9

2.4

2.0

0.4

-0.6

4.6

Q2/2009

10.9

9.4